Wagner Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Wagner Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-05.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 41%	100714
	Night	7% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 41%	98247
Transparency	Day	19% 50% 12% 12% 6% 1	104489
	Night	21% 50% 11% 11% 6% 1	102611
Seeing	Day	7% 3 15% 26% 27% 22%	15693
	Night	7% 3 16% 34% 29% 11%	25764

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 3 4 7% 8% 42%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 8% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 7% 8% 33%	2840
	21st to end	Day	7% 7% 3 8% 6% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 42%	3394
February	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 5% 3 4 5% 7% 8% 47%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 3 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 60%	1848
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 3 4 4 4 6% 10% 55%	1700
March	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 9% 9% 43%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 2 4 3 4 4 4 8% 11% 55%	3480
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 1 4 3 3 3 4 5% 7% 56%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 3 3 4 4 4 8% 11% 56%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 5% 4 4 3 4 7% 10% 53%	2066
	21st to end	Day	4 3 1 4 4 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 54%	2255
May	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 9% 71%	3856
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 11% 48%	4081
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 4 4 4 4 3 6% 9% 58%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 8% 3 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 8% 11% 27%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 7% 7% 8% 8% 6% 9% 12% 28%	2470
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 3 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 10% 11% 24%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 8% 7% 8% 9% 7% 10% 13% 27%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 8% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 13% 24%	4120
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 7% 6% 7% 8% 7% 11% 15% 28%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 5% 4 10% 7% 8% 8% 6% 9% 12% 27%	4086
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 2 7% 6% 8% 9% 7% 11% 14% 29%	3572
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 10% 15% 26%	3828
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 2 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 12% 26%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 3 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 10% 12% 25%	2090
	21st to end	Day	8% 7% 3 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 10% 10% 26%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 3 10% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 10% 33%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 6% 3 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 39%	1914
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 6% 4 6% 8% 47%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 6% 8% 52%	1898
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 9% 44%	1900
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 8% 50%	1891
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 8% 50%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 10% 45%	2153
	21st to end	Day	9% 6% 3 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 10% 35%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 3 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 11% 37%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 4 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 28%	4120
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 8% 40%	4244
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 4 5% 8% 55%	2218
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 60%	1751
March	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 3 9% 5% 5% 6% 4 7% 8% 42%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 7% 10% 53%	3480
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 6% 8% 53%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 7% 10% 55%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 5% 4 5% 4 4 7% 10% 52%	2063
	21st to end	Night	4 4 1 5% 5% 3 4 5% 6% 9% 52%	1924
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 6% 9% 53%	3052
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 5% 4 3 5% 4 7% 10% 54%	2812
	21st to end	Night	4 3 2 5% 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 58%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 4 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 11% 29%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 7% 2 6% 5% 6% 8% 7% 9% 11% 34%	1710
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9% 15% 27%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 6% 3 9% 7% 8% 7% 5% 9% 12% 28%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 6% 3 9% 8% 7% 8% 7% 11% 12% 24%	2840
	21st to end	Night	5% 7% 3 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 10% 12% 23%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 3 9% 6% 8% 7% 7% 9% 12% 29%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 5% 2 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 11% 12% 26%	3221
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 3 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 10% 15% 25%	3828
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 2 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 11% 13% 27%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 7% 2 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 9% 14% 30%	2090
	21st to end	Night	10% 7% 3 9% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 11% 26%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 2 8% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 38%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 44%	2263
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 45%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 3 6% 8% 52%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 8% 49%	2280
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 9% 47%	2284
December	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 6% 8% 52%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 2 6% 3 4 3 4 6% 9% 49%	3042
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 36%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	29% 38% 6% 15% 10% 2	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 38% 8% 9% 7% 1	2840
	21st to end	Day	25% 42% 5% 14% 13% 1	3394
February	1st to 10th	Day	10% 66% 7% 10% 5% 2	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 63% 3 10% 12% 5%	1858
	21st to end	Day	10% 65% 7% 8% 8% 2	1700
March	1st to 10th	Day	25% 47% 11% 11% 4 1	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 43% 17% 19% 8% 2	3480
	21st to end	Day	18% 41% 6% 19% 9% 7%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	7% 65% 7% 13% 6% 2	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 67% 7% 7% 6% 3	2066
	21st to end	Day	9% 66% 5% 9% 10% 1	2255
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 41% 11% 25% 13% 3	3891
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 44% 13% 24% 4	4085
	21st to end	Day	8% 42% 12% 27% 12%	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	17% 67% 9% 6%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 70% 8% 3	2470
	21st to end	Day	15% 69% 11% 4	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	26% 46% 20% 8%	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 46% 23% 4	4051
	21st to end	Day	24% 46% 23% 7%	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	30% 44% 18% 6% 2	4073
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 47% 22% 9% 1	3608
	21st to end	Day	23% 46% 25% 6%	3828
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 66% 11% 5%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 65% 12% 6% 1	2090
	21st to end	Day	17% 66% 9% 5% 3	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	35% 41% 12% 9% 3	3480
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 41% 12% 15% 12% 1	3154
	21st to end	Day	17% 39% 6% 21% 14% 3	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 59% 9% 12% 6% 2	1898
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 61% 6% 9% 5% 3	1900
	21st to end	Day	13% 61% 5% 10% 9% 2	1891
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 61% 5% 13% 7% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 50% 7% 11% 10% 8%	2150
	21st to end	Day	30% 40% 11% 12% 5%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	28% 40% 8% 12% 10% 1	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 39% 7% 9% 4 1	4120
	21st to end	Night	26% 41% 6% 11% 15% 2	4244
February	1st to 10th	Night	11% 66% 6% 11% 5% 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 63% 3 9% 10% 7%	2219
	21st to end	Night	8% 65% 6% 7% 11% 3	1751
March	1st to 10th	Night	30% 45% 9% 10% 5% 1	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 43% 16% 17% 9% 1	3480
	21st to end	Night	18% 43% 8% 13% 14% 5%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 65% 6% 14% 6% 1	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 67% 8% 8% 7% 2	2063
	21st to end	Night	9% 67% 6% 10% 7% 1	1924
May	1st to 10th	Night	17% 45% 13% 17% 5% 3	3082
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 43% 15% 26% 5%	2813
	21st to end	Night	8% 42% 11% 26% 13%	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 66% 10% 7%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 69% 11% 4	1710
	21st to end	Night	14% 69% 12% 5% 1	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	30% 44% 19% 7%	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 45% 20% 4	2786
	21st to end	Night	34% 44% 16% 6%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	28% 44% 19% 6% 4	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 47% 20% 6%	3251
	21st to end	Night	23% 49% 25% 3 1	3828
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 67% 12% 6%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 64% 14% 6% 2	2090
	21st to end	Night	17% 67% 8% 6% 2	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	40% 42% 10% 6% 2	3480
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 41% 11% 13% 13% 1	3762
	21st to end	Night	20% 39% 7% 20% 12% 3	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 59% 9% 13% 7% 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 62% 6% 8% 7% 3	2280
	21st to end	Night	13% 61% 6% 8% 9% 3	2284
December	1st to 10th	Night	14% 61% 6% 12% 6%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 49% 5% 13% 10% 8%	3044
	21st to end	Night	30% 40% 14% 11% 4	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 33% 36% 14% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 11% 29% 30% 17% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	11% 10% 38% 32% 9% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	5% 7% 25% 37% 21% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 29% 37% 19% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	4 5% 23% 37% 28% 3	355
March	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 33% 37% 20% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 23% 38% 24% 3	460
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 20% 43% 25% 3	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	4 6% 25% 40% 20% 6%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 21% 39% 25% 6%	452
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 19% 36% 30% 7%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 14% 37% 31% 15%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 16% 30% 29% 15%	487
	21st to end	Day	7% 1 8% 24% 34% 26%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 2 7% 21% 31% 25%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 8% 18% 25% 38%	490
	21st to end	Day	4 1 4 11% 26% 53%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 2 2 10% 26% 55%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 3 6% 31% 53%	484
	21st to end	Day	7% 1 5% 11% 27% 49%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 4 10% 27% 52%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	4 2 2 9% 33% 51%	479
	21st to end	Day	9% 1 6% 16% 30% 37%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 4 13% 33% 44%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 1 7% 13% 33% 39%	490
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 7% 16% 34% 33%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 13% 28% 33% 15%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 14% 31% 30% 13%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 18% 31% 30% 9%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 18% 30% 30% 10%	472
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 3 21% 35% 24% 7%	460
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 21% 37% 30% 4	451
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 20% 36% 23% 8%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 26% 33% 23% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	6% 7% 23% 35% 23% 6%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 23% 41% 20% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 25% 42% 18%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 6% 30% 40% 14%	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	10% 4 27% 42% 16%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 6% 23% 42% 20% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 19% 53% 19%	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	4 4 27% 47% 17% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 23% 47% 19%	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 26% 46% 19% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 21% 49% 21% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 23% 50% 19% 1	751
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 23% 46% 22% 2	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 14% 47% 31% 3	721
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 11% 42% 34% 4	561
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 6% 36% 42% 8%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 1 5% 22% 47% 13%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 7% 13% 45% 28%	570
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 2 13% 43% 37%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 3 8% 42% 42%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 3 8% 41% 42%	552
	21st to end	Night	4 2 9% 37% 47%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 2 10% 44% 38%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 3 7% 41% 43%	635
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 6% 15% 42% 26%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 5% 14% 46% 28%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 1 5% 16% 44% 23%	760
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 7% 21% 39% 19%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 11% 35% 32% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 14% 36% 33% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 1 19% 37% 28% 5%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 21% 39% 27% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 22% 41% 24% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 18% 45% 25% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 19% 42% 27% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 22% 38% 25% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 20% 41% 24% 2	836

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