Picton
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Picton clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-09.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	15% 9% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 36%	101830
	Night	17% 10% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 34%	97960
Transparency	Day	25% 47% 8% 14% 6%	105389
	Night	27% 48% 6% 12% 6%	102489
Seeing	Day	18% 5% 20% 31% 20% 6%	14600
	Night	21% 7% 26% 29% 15% 3	23865

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	16% 16% 9% 11% 5% 4 3 3 4 4 26%	2517
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 18% 7% 21% 8% 5% 4 3 3 4 14%	2520
	21st to end	Day	17% 19% 6% 11% 7% 5% 5% 3 4 4 18%	3101
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 16% 4 13% 6% 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 22%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 12% 4 12% 7% 5% 4 3 4 6% 28%	1663
	21st to end	Day	21% 12% 3 9% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 5% 27%	1536
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 11% 3 8% 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 32%	3267
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 13% 4 10% 5% 5% 6% 3 4 6% 33%	3480
	21st to end	Day	14% 9% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 42%	3929
April	1st to 10th	Day	19% 10% 3 7% 5% 5% 3 3 5% 6% 33%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 7% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 5% 5% 39%	2254
	21st to end	Day	20% 9% 4 6% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 33%	2403
May	1st to 10th	Day	19% 8% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 35%	4331
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 3 7% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 9% 35%	4398
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 44%	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 6% 9% 36%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 41%	2660
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 41%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 10% 45%	4440
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 4 7% 10% 47%	4440
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 44%	4814
August	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 41%	4107
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 10% 40%	4044
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 45%	4186
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 1 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 49%	2280
	21st to end	Day	15% 7% 2 7% 4 5% 5% 3 6% 7% 39%	1997
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 37%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 34%	1900
	21st to end	Day	24% 10% 3 7% 5% 5% 4 3 4 6% 27%	2033
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 10% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 36%	1741
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 11% 3 9% 6% 5% 5% 4 7% 7% 30%	1600
	21st to end	Day	21% 12% 4 8% 5% 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 25%	1600
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 14% 4 9% 6% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 20%	1584
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 16% 5% 9% 6% 4 4 3 4 6% 26%	1906
	21st to end	Day	29% 15% 4 9% 5% 4 4 2 4 5% 19%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	19% 17% 5% 10% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 22%	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 13% 6% 20% 7% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 16%	4440
	21st to end	Night	21% 17% 5% 11% 6% 4 4 3 4 4 20%	4552
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 17% 5% 11% 6% 4 5% 4 4 5% 24%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 15% 4 9% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 29%	2403
	21st to end	Night	17% 12% 3 8% 5% 4 4 5% 7% 7% 28%	1918
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 10% 3 8% 6% 5% 4 4 4 6% 32%	3569
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 13% 4 8% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 30%	3479
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 45%	3702
April	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 33%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 8% 3 6% 4 5% 4 3 4 5% 37%	1875
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 6% 6% 37%	1794
May	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 3 3 5% 5% 33%	2610
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 36%	2495
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 3 5% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 8% 44%	2738
June	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 36%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 2 7% 4 5% 4 4 7% 9% 43%	1520
	21st to end	Night	12% 7% 2 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 40%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 7% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 42%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 3 5% 9% 46%	2520
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 7% 8% 48%	2739
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 45%	2818
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 6% 3 4 4 4 5% 8% 45%	2785
	21st to end	Night	7% 4 2 5% 3 4 6% 4 7% 9% 48%	3437
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 47%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 1 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 7% 53%	1900
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 6% 6% 42%	2177
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 2 8% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 37%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 3 8% 6% 4 4 4 5% 6% 33%	2280
	21st to end	Night	22% 8% 3 9% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 30%	2565
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 39%	2554
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 10% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 33%	2800
	21st to end	Night	22% 11% 3 8% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 7% 26%	2800
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 17% 4 10% 6% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 21%	2779
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 15% 4 9% 5% 4 4 3 5% 5% 27%	3288
	21st to end	Night	31% 15% 4 8% 4 4 4 4 5% 5% 18%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	39% 44% 6% 5% 5% 1	2518
	11th to 20th	Day	53% 40% 2 3 2	2520
	21st to end	Day	45% 42% 7% 4 1 1	3101
February	1st to 10th	Day	23% 65% 4 5% 2 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 64% 4 8% 5%	1672
	21st to end	Day	19% 65% 5% 7% 4 1	1536
March	1st to 10th	Day	33% 41% 5% 14% 6% 1	3270
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 41% 12% 10% 7% 1	3480
	21st to end	Day	23% 41% 6% 19% 10% 1	3929
April	1st to 10th	Day	21% 65% 3 7% 4 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 65% 2 9% 5% 1	2254
	21st to end	Day	17% 65% 5% 8% 5% 1	2403
May	1st to 10th	Day	31% 42% 7% 13% 6% 1	4344
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 44% 8% 12% 3 1	4402
	21st to end	Day	21% 42% 8% 18% 10%	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	15% 65% 4 8% 6% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 65% 6% 9% 6% 1	2660
	21st to end	Day	15% 63% 4 11% 7% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	24% 36% 9% 22% 10% 1	4370
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 36% 11% 26% 8%	4365
	21st to end	Day	23% 37% 11% 21% 8%	4661
August	1st to 10th	Day	29% 37% 9% 14% 10% 1	4093
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 38% 12% 18% 5%	4083
	21st to end	Day	22% 38% 11% 24% 6%	4186
September	1st to 10th	Day	12% 61% 7% 13% 5%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 61% 6% 13% 10% 1	2280
	21st to end	Day	16% 60% 6% 13% 5%	1997
October	1st to 10th	Day	21% 38% 8% 23% 9%	3160
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 37% 12% 21% 7%	3140
	21st to end	Day	26% 38% 10% 19% 6%	3335
November	1st to 10th	Day	24% 57% 7% 7% 5%	1741
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 59% 6% 10% 4	1600
	21st to end	Day	27% 58% 5% 6% 4	1600
December	1st to 10th	Day	29% 59% 5% 5% 2	1584
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 52% 8% 5% 2	1906
	21st to end	Day	44% 40% 6% 9% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	41% 44% 6% 7% 2	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	47% 45% 3 3 2	4440
	21st to end	Night	46% 43% 4 5% 2	4552
February	1st to 10th	Night	23% 66% 3 6% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 64% 4 7% 5%	2405
	21st to end	Night	19% 65% 5% 7% 4	1918
March	1st to 10th	Night	31% 42% 4 15% 6% 1	3579
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 42% 8% 8% 6%	3480
	21st to end	Night	23% 40% 5% 16% 14% 2	3702
April	1st to 10th	Night	20% 65% 4 7% 4	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 66% 4 6% 8% 1	1875
	21st to end	Night	17% 64% 4 6% 7% 1	1794
May	1st to 10th	Night	35% 43% 6% 9% 6% 1	2616
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 44% 7% 12% 3 1	2496
	21st to end	Night	22% 42% 7% 12% 15%	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	15% 65% 4 9% 6% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 65% 3 7% 8% 1	1520
	21st to end	Night	17% 63% 2 8% 8% 1	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	29% 36% 7% 14% 12% 1	2480
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 36% 8% 24% 8%	2472
	21st to end	Night	23% 36% 11% 20% 9% 1	2651
August	1st to 10th	Night	24% 37% 9% 19% 10% 1	2808
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 39% 10% 19% 5% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	19% 38% 9% 26% 7%	3437
September	1st to 10th	Night	12% 61% 6% 14% 6% 1	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 60% 5% 13% 11%	1900
	21st to end	Night	17% 60% 5% 11% 7%	2177
October	1st to 10th	Night	21% 37% 6% 20% 15% 1	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 37% 10% 22% 8%	3779
	21st to end	Night	27% 37% 8% 21% 6%	4213
November	1st to 10th	Night	24% 56% 7% 8% 4	2554
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 57% 6% 10% 5%	2800
	21st to end	Night	25% 59% 6% 7% 3	2800
December	1st to 10th	Night	27% 59% 5% 7% 2	2779
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 52% 5% 8% 3 1	3288
	21st to end	Night	44% 39% 8% 7% 2	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	23% 13% 24% 30% 7% 3	180
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 12% 31% 22% 7% 1	180
	21st to end	Day	20% 11% 26% 30% 10% 2	292
February	1st to 10th	Day	25% 9% 30% 29% 7%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 9% 30% 36% 6% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	30% 11% 25% 29% 5%	348
March	1st to 10th	Day	20% 8% 25% 36% 9% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 9% 28% 32% 11% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	27% 5% 26% 27% 12% 3	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	21% 6% 24% 35% 11% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 5% 25% 27% 16% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	23% 4 21% 33% 17% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	20% 3 17% 37% 20% 4	463
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 2 15% 34% 27% 8%	487
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 10% 39% 25% 12%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	16% 2 14% 33% 29% 5%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 16% 32% 31% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	17% 2 14% 34% 26% 6%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 11% 32% 36% 11%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 1 11% 29% 37% 8%	484
	21st to end	Day	12% 2 9% 40% 31% 6%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 2 10% 31% 34% 10%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 13% 29% 33% 12%	479
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 12% 32% 32% 9%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 16% 31% 28% 11%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 11% 29% 27% 21%	490
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 16% 31% 25% 9%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	22% 4 21% 26% 19% 8%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 9% 27% 25% 15% 4	490
	21st to end	Day	28% 8% 26% 26% 11% 1	509
November	1st to 10th	Day	19% 12% 28% 26% 14% 2	375
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 13% 32% 28% 9% 3	200
	21st to end	Day	26% 11% 34% 21% 7% 1	200
December	1st to 10th	Day	22% 14% 29% 26% 6% 3	196
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 19% 33% 19% 3 2	180
	21st to end	Day	29% 15% 33% 20% 3	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	28% 13% 33% 19% 6% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 11% 31% 23% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 7% 33% 28% 9% 1	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	24% 11% 35% 26% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 8% 37% 26% 6% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	22% 8% 36% 26% 7%	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 6% 31% 34% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 11% 28% 29% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 4 31% 31% 12% 2	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	23% 6% 25% 35% 10% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 4 26% 32% 13% 3	751
	21st to end	Night	22% 5% 22% 32% 15% 3	654
May	1st to 10th	Night	25% 3 16% 31% 19% 5%	437
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 2 17% 44% 20% 2	374
	21st to end	Night	11% 1 18% 38% 25% 7%	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 1 15% 39% 24% 4	380
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 2 17% 37% 28% 5%	380
	21st to end	Night	17% 2 18% 32% 28% 2	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 14% 36% 34% 6%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 2 13% 35% 32% 7%	368
	21st to end	Night	10% 1 13% 44% 27% 5%	416
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 1 12% 38% 32% 7%	560
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 14% 32% 32% 8%	564
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 16% 35% 32% 5%	810
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 19% 31% 28% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 15% 28% 29% 12%	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 19% 28% 23% 8%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	21% 6% 26% 23% 19% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 9% 25% 29% 12% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	27% 8% 29% 27% 8%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	22% 9% 27% 28% 13% 2	780
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 13% 32% 23% 9% 1	800
	21st to end	Night	30% 11% 31% 21% 7%	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	31% 15% 30% 18% 5% 1	795
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 13% 36% 19% 5% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	34% 11% 32% 18% 5%	836

Page generated at 2024-12-06 03:54:50. Version ac07

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