Lake Shores
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Lake Shores clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-08.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 42%	101161
	Night	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 43%	97894
Transparency	Day	38% 7% 11% 20% 19% 6%	104903
	Night	38% 6% 10% 19% 20% 7%	102291
Seeing	Day	16% 7% 21% 24% 21% 11%	15192
	Night	16% 6% 21% 32% 22% 4	25240

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	16% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 47%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 53%	2840
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 2 5% 2 3 3 3 3 4 45%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 7% 7% 41%	1795
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 6% 44%	1848
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 3 5% 4 4 4 2 4 6% 42%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 9% 3 7% 3 4 3 2 4 5% 39%	3428
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 1 5% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 52%	3480
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 41%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 7% 49%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 4 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 49%	2199
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 3 6% 8% 50%	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 39%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 38%	4081
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 9% 48%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 4 7% 12% 36%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 44%	2470
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 11% 40%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 3 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 8% 10% 32%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 9% 12% 37%	4120
	21st to end	Day	8% 8% 4 9% 6% 7% 8% 6% 10% 11% 24%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	18% 7% 2 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 27%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 12% 34%	4044
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 5% 7% 10% 48%	4131
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 5% 4 5% 5% 8% 10% 40%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 8% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 3 6% 8% 39%	2090
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 6% 43%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 5% 3 4 3 2 4 7% 53%	2042
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 4 2 3 3 2 4 5% 59%	1900
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 3 4 58%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 2 4 5% 52%	1923
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 52%	1710
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 50%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 40%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 5% 48%	2153
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 42%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 1 5% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 47%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 45%	4120
	21st to end	Night	21% 9% 3 5% 4 3 3 2 3 4 44%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 45%	2380
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 4 44%	2218
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 44%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 4 4 6% 38%	3423
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 1 5% 3 3 4 3 6% 7% 51%	3480
	21st to end	Night	19% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 4 6% 43%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 4 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 50%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 3 3 4 6% 53%	1942
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 1 5% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 53%	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 6% 10% 41%	2813
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 7% 4 5% 5% 3 6% 8% 38%	2812
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 1 5% 4 4 5% 4 8% 11% 47%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 34%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 13% 40%	1710
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 10% 9% 37%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 3 8% 5% 7% 7% 5% 8% 10% 28%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 10% 14% 31%	2840
	21st to end	Night	11% 9% 4 10% 6% 6% 6% 6% 9% 11% 22%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 9% 11% 23%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 33%	2785
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 6% 5% 6% 9% 47%	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 8% 42%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 4 4 6% 8% 37%	2090
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 6% 7% 45%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 53%	2137
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 56%	2280
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 1 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 58%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 55%	2312
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 5% 53%	2470
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 6% 6% 48%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 2 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 43%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 5% 2 2 3 3 4 5% 53%	3042
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 39%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	37% 4 6% 25% 22% 7%	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 3 6% 19% 30% 8%	2840
	21st to end	Day	45% 3 3 18% 25% 7%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	41% 4 9% 20% 19% 6%	1795
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 4 5% 19% 24% 6%	1858
	21st to end	Day	44% 5% 8% 15% 21% 8%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	49% 4 6% 17% 14% 10%	3428
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 5% 7% 15% 30% 11%	3480
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 7% 19% 22% 4	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	33% 5% 11% 19% 26% 6%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 4 9% 20% 21% 10%	2199
	21st to end	Day	31% 6% 11% 27% 21% 5%	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 15% 21% 15% 3	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 7% 11% 22% 15% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	29% 9% 16% 24% 21% 2	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	39% 9% 17% 24% 9% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 9% 17% 26% 13% 1	2470
	21st to end	Day	35% 11% 16% 21% 14% 3	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	42% 11% 18% 19% 8% 2	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 12% 26% 20% 4 2	4051
	21st to end	Day	49% 14% 18% 14% 5% 1	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	50% 9% 16% 19% 5%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 10% 18% 18% 15% 1	4083
	21st to end	Day	29% 8% 15% 26% 17% 5%	4131
September	1st to 10th	Day	36% 9% 13% 20% 18% 4	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 7% 10% 17% 20% 3	2090
	21st to end	Day	41% 5% 10% 20% 17% 7%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	30% 3 6% 18% 32% 11%	3393
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 3 4 16% 29% 28%	3140
	21st to end	Day	26% 3 4 22% 31% 14%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	35% 4 7% 17% 27% 10%	1923
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 4 8% 21% 26% 10%	1710
	21st to end	Day	36% 4 9% 21% 22% 8%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	45% 5% 6% 20% 17% 7%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 7% 21% 21% 11%	2150
	21st to end	Day	43% 4 6% 20% 24% 3	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	38% 4 5% 19% 26% 8%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 5% 6% 19% 26% 8%	4120
	21st to end	Night	45% 3 3 16% 26% 7%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	41% 4 7% 19% 21% 7%	2380
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 3 6% 18% 22% 8%	2219
	21st to end	Night	40% 5% 8% 18% 20% 10%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	48% 5% 9% 14% 16% 7%	3423
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 4 8% 14% 29% 14%	3480
	21st to end	Night	43% 4 6% 19% 19% 9%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	33% 5% 9% 20% 24% 8%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 4 8% 21% 24% 10%	1942
	21st to end	Night	31% 6% 10% 26% 22% 5%	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	37% 8% 13% 23% 16% 3	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 7% 14% 20% 16% 1	2813
	21st to end	Night	27% 11% 13% 25% 23% 2	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	41% 11% 15% 21% 10% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 7% 17% 25% 14% 2	1710
	21st to end	Night	37% 13% 16% 18% 13% 3	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	47% 12% 19% 14% 7% 2	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 13% 25% 19% 4 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	53% 13% 19% 11% 4 1	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	51% 10% 18% 16% 4	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 11% 19% 19% 8% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	31% 9% 15% 25% 17% 3	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	37% 10% 14% 17% 17% 5%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 8% 11% 16% 18% 3	2090
	21st to end	Night	39% 5% 11% 20% 19% 6%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	29% 5% 9% 18% 33% 7%	3566
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 3 5% 17% 27% 29%	3779
	21st to end	Night	25% 3 5% 20% 29% 18%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	32% 4 7% 19% 26% 12%	2312
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 5% 18% 25% 13%	2470
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 5% 21% 25% 8%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 7% 20% 19% 7%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 3 7% 18% 26% 10%	3044
	21st to end	Night	45% 5% 6% 20% 21% 4	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 16% 37% 21% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 16% 33% 23% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	23% 20% 38% 14% 5%	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 17% 40% 21% 3 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 10% 36% 19% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	28% 19% 32% 18% 3	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 10% 32% 26% 9% 1	453
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 11% 39% 22% 8%	460
	21st to end	Day	20% 13% 35% 22% 9% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 13% 31% 25% 13% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 10% 31% 23% 19% 3	452
	21st to end	Day	15% 8% 23% 27% 20% 7%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 31% 23% 19% 6%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 16% 26% 24% 13%	487
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 13% 25% 23% 20%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 12% 28% 28% 16%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 14% 26% 26% 23%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 9% 32% 30% 18%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 5% 19% 36% 27%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 5% 23% 36% 25%	484
	21st to end	Day	7% 2 6% 27% 34% 23%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	14% 4 10% 18% 31% 23%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 4 7% 18% 34% 23%	479
	21st to end	Day	14% 3 7% 22% 29% 25%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 9% 24% 35% 19%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 2 13% 21% 31% 16%	490
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 13% 26% 29% 11%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 3 18% 29% 20% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 21% 29% 26% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	15% 4 24% 30% 22% 6%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 7% 21% 27% 19% 6%	479
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 38% 28% 9% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	10% 11% 32% 30% 13% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	27% 9% 34% 24% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 7% 33% 26% 8% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	29% 11% 33% 19% 6% 3	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	22% 11% 31% 29% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 10% 32% 30% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 9% 38% 29% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 30% 35% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 9% 35% 29% 3	743
	21st to end	Night	20% 11% 35% 30% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 31% 34% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 34% 29% 10% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	18% 9% 33% 30% 11%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	14% 12% 27% 34% 12%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 9% 26% 33% 18% 1	737
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 25% 38% 21% 1	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 27% 37% 19% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 19% 37% 25% 3	561
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 10% 33% 35% 7%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 2 9% 36% 34% 5%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 11% 30% 35% 11%	570
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 8% 36% 36% 11%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 5% 29% 44% 11%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 1 3 27% 47% 12%	552
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 6% 29% 45% 10%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 5% 30% 41% 11%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 6% 28% 41% 8%	564
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 6% 25% 43% 10%	727
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 8% 30% 41% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 3 10% 26% 40% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	17% 2 13% 31% 33% 4	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 3 15% 30% 31% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 20% 34% 23% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	13% 4 20% 35% 25% 2	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 4 19% 36% 22% 3	771
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 26% 35% 14% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 24% 36% 15% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 9% 25% 34% 10% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 25% 35% 12% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 9% 24% 32% 9%	836

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